Comments on: Protesting the Olympics http://areyounkay.com/2008/08/07/protesting-the-olympics/ North Korean Human Rights Live Wed, 10 Nov 2010 04:02:48 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.2 By: Dan tdaxp http://areyounkay.com/2008/08/07/protesting-the-olympics/comment-page-1/#comment-66 Dan tdaxp Thu, 07 Aug 2008 21:16:19 +0000 http://areyounkay.com/?p=764#comment-66 NKay, Excellent analysis. Good job. China has demonstrated an ability to learn from events. Consider its policy towards Taiwan. From 1988 to 2000, Taiwan was headed by Lee Teng-hui, a KMT politician who advocated independence for Taiwan. So in 2000, China showed force, used its military to intimidate Taiwan... and saw the election of Chen Shui-bian, an even more radical Taiwanese nationalist! In 2004, with Chen unpopular, China tied the same thing... and Chen was re-elected! In 2008, China took a very hands off approach, and the Taiwanese elected Ma Ying-jeou, perhaps the most pro-Mainland leader of Taiwan ever. Embarrasments are learning opportunities. China was embarrased two elections in a row. So it learned, acted responsibly, and got a much government out of it. China should be encouraged to policy on Tibet and human rights as smart as its policy on Taiwan. Embarrasments can help accomplish this. [1] China wants an embarrasment-free Olympics. For that reason, embarrasments are particularly valuable now. China can deal with these problems when it is easy for China, or when it is hard. Now it is easy: China is dong well economically, and has friends in the world. But they have enemies too [2]. The longer China waits, the more likely that its enemies will grow and friends will fall away. [1] http://www.tdaxp.com/archive/2008/03/17/embarrasing-china.html [2] http://www.liveleak.com/view?i=13a_1218125381&p=1 NKay,

Excellent analysis. Good job.

China has demonstrated an ability to learn from events. Consider its policy towards Taiwan. From 1988 to 2000, Taiwan was headed by Lee Teng-hui, a KMT politician who advocated independence for Taiwan. So in 2000, China showed force, used its military to intimidate Taiwan… and saw the election of Chen Shui-bian, an even more radical Taiwanese nationalist! In 2004, with Chen unpopular, China tied the same thing… and Chen was re-elected! In 2008, China took a very hands off approach, and the Taiwanese elected Ma Ying-jeou, perhaps the most pro-Mainland leader of Taiwan ever.

Embarrasments are learning opportunities. China was embarrased two elections in a row. So it learned, acted responsibly, and got a much government out of it.

China should be encouraged to policy on Tibet and human rights as smart as its policy on Taiwan. Embarrasments can help accomplish this. [1] China wants an embarrasment-free Olympics. For that reason, embarrasments are particularly valuable now.

China can deal with these problems when it is easy for China, or when it is hard. Now it is easy: China is dong well economically, and has friends in the world. But they have enemies too [2]. The longer China waits, the more likely that its enemies will grow and friends will fall away.

[1] http://www.tdaxp.com/archive/2008/03/17/embarrasing-china.html
[2] http://www.liveleak.com/view?i=13a_1218125381&p=1

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